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Sunday 17 December 2017, 13:30 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
20% 25% 55%
Home win
19.6%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
55.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 19.6% 5.09
Draw 25.0% 4.00
AC Milan 55.4% 1.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.21
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 3.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.50
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.97
No 49.1% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 44.6% 2.24
Hellas Verona / AC Milan 75.0% 1.33
Draw / AC Milan 80.4% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
11.3
10.4
6.0
2.6
0.9
1
5.8
11.9
9.7
5.6
2.4
0.8
2
3.1
5.3
4.6
2.6
1.1
0.4
3
1.0
1.7
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.