Sunday 10 December 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
53%
27%
20%
Home win
52.9%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
20.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Bologna | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.2% | 9.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Bologna | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
6.9
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
12.6
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.4
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bologna
0-3
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Bologna
May 2025
AC Milan
3-1
Bologna
Feb 2025
Bologna
2-1
AC Milan
Jan 2024
AC Milan
2-2
Bologna
Aug 2023
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.