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Saturday 25 November 2017, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
31% 29% 40%
Home win
31.5%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
40.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 31.5% 3.18
Draw 28.5% 3.50
Sampdoria 40.0% 2.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.93
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.43
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 60.0% 1.67
Bologna / Sampdoria 71.5% 1.40
Draw / Sampdoria 68.5% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
10.4
7.4
3.3
1.1
0.3
1
8.9
13.6
8.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
5.5
7.4
4.9
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.1
2.8
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.