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Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
1–2
HT 0–2
23% 25% 52%
Home win
23.4%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
51.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 23.4% 4.27
Draw 25.0% 4.00
Lazio 51.6% 1.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.46
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.62
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.14
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.26
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.8% 1.79
No 44.2% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 48.4% 2.07
Bologna / Lazio 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Lazio 76.6% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
9.4
8.8
5.1
2.2
0.8
1
5.7
11.8
9.7
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
3.5
6.2
5.4
3.1
1.4
0.5
3
1.3
2.3
2.0
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.