Skip to content
Sunday 24 September 2017, 19:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
51% 26% 23%
Home win
50.8%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
22.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 50.8% 1.97
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Bologna 22.9% 4.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.49
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.89
Over 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.4% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 3.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 7.99
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.5% 1.94
No 48.5% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 77.1% 1.30
Sassuolo / Bologna 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Bologna 49.2% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
6.6
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.1
12.5
5.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.5
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
5.1
5.1
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.