Sunday 20 August 2017, 21:45
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
59.0%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
18.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Genoa | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Genoa | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
10.7
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
10.0
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
6.5
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Nov 2025
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
May 2024
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
Jan 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
Genoa
Oct 2021
Genoa
2-2
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.