Sunday 7 May 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
19%
22%
59%
Home win
18.7%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
58.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Inter | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Genoa / Inter | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
8.9
|
9.5
|
6.3
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.5
|
9.9
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.2
|
5.2
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.8
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Inter
2-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
1-2
Inter
Feb 2025
Inter
1-0
Genoa
Aug 2024
Genoa
2-2
Inter
Mar 2024
Inter
2-1
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.