Sunday 23 April 2017, 21:45
Allianz Stadium
Full time
81%
14%
5%
Home win
80.8%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
4.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.3% | 7.00 | — | — |
| Genoa | 4.9% | 20.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| No | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Juventus / Genoa | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
6.6
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.1
|
7.6
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.2
|
6.2
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.1
|
3.8
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Juventus
2-0
Genoa
Aug 2025
Genoa
0-1
Juventus
Mar 2025
Juventus
1-0
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
0-3
Juventus
Mar 2024
Juventus
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Juventus
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.