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Sunday 2 April 2017, 21:45 Stadio San Paolo Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
34% 26% 39%
Home win
34.1%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
39.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 34.1% 2.93
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Juventus 39.4% 2.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.27
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.60
Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 2.5 46.0% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 3.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.31
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.1% 1.72
No 41.9% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 60.6% 1.65
Napoli / Juventus 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Juventus 65.9% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
7.9
6.4
3.1
1.2
0.3
1
7.2
12.5
8.7
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.4
8.0
5.9
2.9
1.1
0.3
3
2.5
3.6
2.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
4
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.