Sunday 19 February 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
23%
25%
52%
Home win
23.0%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
52.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Napoli | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Chievo / Napoli | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
9.5
|
8.9
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
11.8
|
9.7
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.1
|
5.3
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.2
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
Nov 2018
Napoli
0-0
Chievo
Apr 2018
Napoli
2-1
Chievo
Nov 2017
Chievo
0-0
Napoli
Sep 2016
Napoli
2-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.