Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
37%
30%
33%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
32.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Udinese | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 13.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Chievo / Udinese | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
10.7
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.1
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
7.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Udinese
1-0
Chievo
Sep 2018
Chievo
0-2
Udinese
Jan 2018
Chievo
1-1
Udinese
Aug 2017
Udinese
1-2
Chievo
Sep 2016
Udinese
1-2
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.