Sunday 20 August 2017, 21:45
Dacia Arena
Full time
49%
27%
25%
Home win
48.6%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
24.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Chievo | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Udinese / Chievo | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
7.0
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
12.8
|
6.3
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Udinese
1-0
Chievo
Sep 2018
Chievo
0-2
Udinese
Jan 2018
Chievo
1-1
Udinese
Feb 2017
Chievo
0-0
Udinese
Sep 2016
Udinese
1-2
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.