Skip to content
Sunday 28 May 2017, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
5–2
HT 3–0
58% 23% 18%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
18.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 58.4% 1.71
Draw 23.3% 4.29
Udinese 18.3% 5.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.87
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.69
Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.3% 3.09
Under 3.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.13
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 81.7% 1.22
Inter / Udinese 76.7% 1.30
Draw / Udinese 41.6% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
4.9
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.1
11.1
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
9.9
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.5
6.3
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.1
3.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.