Sunday 30 April 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
35%
23%
42%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
42.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Napoli | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Inter / Napoli | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
4.8
|
5.0
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
9.5
|
8.4
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
7.6
|
7.1
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
4.3
|
4.0
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Inter
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
3-1
Inter
Mar 2025
Napoli
1-1
Inter
Nov 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Mar 2024
Inter
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
0-3
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.