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Sunday 14 May 2017, 13:30 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
60% 21% 18%
Home win
60.2%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
18.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 60.2% 1.66
Draw 21.3% 4.69
Sassuolo 18.5% 5.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.87
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.35
Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.7% 2.73
Over 3.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 3.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.1% 4.33
Under 4.5 76.9% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.0% 1.67
No 40.0% 2.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 81.5% 1.23
Inter / Sassuolo 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Sassuolo 39.8% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.7
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
7.6
9.7
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
8.8
9.8
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.3
7.0
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
3.4
3.8
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
1.4
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.