Thursday 22 December 2016, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
40%
27%
33%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
32.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Udinese | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 7.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Udinese | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
7.8
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
12.9
|
7.7
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.7
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.2
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Udinese
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-1
Udinese
Mar 2022
Udinese
2-1
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
3-3
Udinese
May 2021
Udinese
0-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.