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Sunday 27 November 2016, 16:00 Sant'Elia Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
44% 22% 34%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
34.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 43.7% 2.29
Draw 22.3% 4.49
Udinese 34.0% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.12
Over 1.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.7% 9.36
Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.7% 3.61
Over 3.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 3.5 48.4% 2.07
Over 4.5 32.2% 3.10
Under 4.5 67.8% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 71.9% 1.39
No 28.1% 3.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 66.0% 1.51
Cagliari / Udinese 77.7% 1.29
Draw / Udinese 56.3% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
3.6
3.6
2.1
0.9
0.3
1
4.2
8.7
7.2
4.2
1.8
0.6
2
4.7
8.2
7.2
4.2
1.8
0.6
3
3.1
5.5
4.8
2.8
1.2
0.4
4
1.6
2.7
2.4
1.4
0.6
0.2
5
0.6
1.1
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.