Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
34%
30%
36%
Home win
33.6%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
36.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Fiorentina | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
11.2
|
7.0
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
14.1
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.4
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.7
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1-2
Cagliari
Aug 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
May 2024
Cagliari
2-3
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.