Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Sunday 16 October 2016, 13:30 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
Fiorentina
0–0
HT 0–0
Atalanta
60% 24% 16%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
16.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 59.8% 1.67 — —
Draw 24.2% 4.13 — —
Atalanta 16.0% 6.24 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.26 — —
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36 — —
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.80 — —
Over 2.5 47.9% 2.09 — —
Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Over 3.5 26.2% 3.82 — —
Under 3.5 73.8% 1.35 — —
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.26 — —
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.8% 2.14 — —
No 53.2% 1.88 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 84.0% 1.19 — —
Fiorentina / Atalanta 75.8% 1.32 — —
Draw / Atalanta 40.2% 2.49 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
5.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.7
11.5
4.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
9.6
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
7.1
5.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Fiorentina
W W D D L
Atalanta
W L L W W

Head to head

May 2026 Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta Nov 2025 Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina Mar 2025 Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta Sep 2024 Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina Jun 2024 Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina Sep 2023 Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.