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Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:00 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
1–3
HT 0–1
60% 23% 17%
Home win
60.2%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 60.2% 1.66
Draw 23.0% 4.34
Udinese 16.8% 5.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.19
Over 1.5 77.9% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.2% 4.51
Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Over 3.5 31.2% 3.20
Under 3.5 68.8% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.5% 6.43
Under 4.5 84.5% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.5% 1.94
No 48.5% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Atalanta / Udinese 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Udinese 39.8% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
4.8
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
10.8
11.0
4.7
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.9
9.9
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.9
6.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.3
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.