Sunday 20 November 2016, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
35%
27%
38%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
38.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Atalanta / AS Roma | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
7.9
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
12.6
|
8.5
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.2
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.7
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 2026
Atalanta
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2024
AS Roma
0-2
Atalanta
May 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.