Sunday 5 November 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
12%
18%
69%
Home win
12.5%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
69.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 12.5% | 8.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Napoli | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Chievo / Napoli | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
8.0
|
10.2
|
8.2
|
4.9
|
2.4
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.4
|
9.6
|
7.7
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
| 2 |
1.6
|
3.7
|
4.5
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
Nov 2018
Napoli
0-0
Chievo
Apr 2018
Napoli
2-1
Chievo
Feb 2017
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
Sep 2016
Napoli
2-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.