Sunday 1 October 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
34%
26%
40%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
40.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.7% | 5.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Chievo / Fiorentina | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
7.7
|
6.4
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.3
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
8.0
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Chievo
3-4
Fiorentina
Aug 2018
Fiorentina
6-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
Jan 2017
Chievo
0-3
Fiorentina
Aug 2016
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.