Sunday 17 September 2017, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
25%
27%
48%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
47.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.0% | 9.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Chievo / Atalanta | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
11.5
|
9.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
13.0
|
9.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
6.2
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.1
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Atalanta
1-1
Chievo
Oct 2018
Chievo
1-5
Atalanta
Feb 2018
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
May 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
Jan 2017
Chievo
1-4
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.