Sunday 20 August 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
33%
26%
40%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
40.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Atalanta / AS Roma | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
8.1
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
12.5
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
7.9
|
5.9
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 2026
Atalanta
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2024
AS Roma
0-2
Atalanta
May 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.