Saturday 13 May 2017, 21:45
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
49%
26%
24%
Home win
49.5%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
24.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Atalanta / AC Milan | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
6.8
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
12.6
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.5
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Apr 2025
AC Milan
0-1
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Dec 2023
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.