Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
58%
24%
18%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
18.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Atalanta | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
11.4
|
5.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 2026
Atalanta
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2024
AS Roma
0-2
Atalanta
May 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.