Sunday 12 March 2017, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
29.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.5% | 9.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.7% | 11.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Inter / Atalanta | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.5
|
9.5
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
13.9
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
8.4
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Inter
1-1
Atalanta
Dec 2025
Atalanta
0-1
Inter
Mar 2025
Atalanta
0-2
Inter
Aug 2024
Inter
4-0
Atalanta
Feb 2024
Inter
4-0
Atalanta
Nov 2023
Atalanta
1-2
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.