Saturday 18 February 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
72%
19%
9%
Home win
71.9%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
9.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Crotone | 9.3% | 10.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Crotone | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
8.9
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.9
|
9.1
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Oct 2020
Crotone
1-2
Atalanta
Feb 2018
Crotone
1-1
Atalanta
Sep 2017
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Sep 2016
Crotone
1-3
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.