Saturday 10 February 2018, 19:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
19%
27%
54%
Home win
18.9%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
53.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.6% | 11.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Crotone / Atalanta | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
14.3
|
11.4
|
5.8
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.6
|
9.1
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
4.7
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Oct 2020
Crotone
1-2
Atalanta
Sep 2017
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Feb 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Crotone
Sep 2016
Crotone
1-3
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.