Saturday 27 January 2018, 19:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
27%
27%
46%
Home win
26.6%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
46.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Atalanta | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
10.7
|
8.5
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
13.0
|
9.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
6.6
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.4
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Nov 2025
Atalanta
0-3
Sassuolo
Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
1-0
Atalanta
Oct 2022
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.