Sunday 21 January 2018, 13:30
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
25%
25%
50%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
50.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Napoli | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Napoli | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
9.3
|
8.5
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
12.0
|
9.6
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
6.4
|
5.5
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.4
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atalanta
2-1
Napoli
Nov 2025
Napoli
3-1
Atalanta
Jan 2025
Atalanta
2-3
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Nov 2023
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.