Sunday 10 December 2017, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
71%
17%
12%
Home win
71.0%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
11.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.6% | 7.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Napoli / Fiorentina | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
7.7
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.3
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
8.0
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.7
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Sep 2025
Fiorentina
1-3
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Fiorentina
0-3
Napoli
May 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.