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Friday 1 December 2017, 21:45 Stadio San Paolo Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
47% 25% 28%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
28.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 46.5% 2.15
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Juventus 28.1% 3.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.73
Over 1.5 79.8% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.2% 4.95
Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.8% 2.29
Over 3.5 33.8% 2.95
Under 3.5 66.2% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 4.5 82.6% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 71.9% 1.39
Napoli / Juventus 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Juventus 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
6.0
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.1
1
8.2
11.9
7.1
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
7.5
9.4
5.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
4.2
5.3
3.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
1.7
2.2
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.