Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
10%
18%
72%
Home win
10.3%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
71.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 10.3% | 9.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Napoli | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.4% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Genoa / Napoli | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
10.2
|
12.3
|
9.5
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
| 1 |
3.1
|
8.7
|
9.4
|
7.3
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
3.1
|
3.6
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Genoa
2-3
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
2-1
Genoa
May 2025
Napoli
2-2
Genoa
Dec 2024
Genoa
1-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Napoli
1-1
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
2-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.