Sunday 15 October 2017, 16:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
49%
26%
25%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Genoa | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Genoa | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
6.6
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
12.5
|
6.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
5.1
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Nov 2025
Cagliari
3-3
Genoa
Mar 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Genoa
Nov 2024
Genoa
2-2
Cagliari
Apr 2024
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Nov 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.