Sunday 17 September 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
20%
24%
56%
Home win
20.3%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
56.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 20.3% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Lazio | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.1% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Genoa / Lazio | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
9.3
|
9.4
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
11.1
|
9.9
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
5.5
|
5.2
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.0
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lazio
3-2
Genoa
Sep 2025
Genoa
0-3
Lazio
Apr 2025
Genoa
0-2
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
3-0
Genoa
Apr 2024
Genoa
0-1
Lazio
Aug 2023
Lazio
0-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.