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Saturday 26 August 2017, 19:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
2–4
HT 2–2
11% 23% 66%
Home win
11.3%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
65.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 11.3% 8.86
Draw 22.9% 4.36
Juventus 65.8% 1.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.55
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.6% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.5% 4.43
Under 3.5 77.5% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.16
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.8% 2.58
No 61.2% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 34.2% 2.92
Genoa / Juventus 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Juventus 88.7% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
15.5
14.6
8.8
4.0
1.4
1
4.8
10.4
8.9
5.4
2.4
0.9
2
1.7
3.0
2.7
1.6
0.7
0.3
3
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.