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Saturday 19 August 2017, 19:00 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
80% 14% 7%
Home win
79.7%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
6.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 79.7% 1.25
Draw 13.6% 7.33
Cagliari 6.7% 15.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.12
Over 1.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.4% 7.46
Over 2.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 2.5 32.4% 3.09
Over 3.5 46.0% 2.17
Under 3.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 4.5 27.1% 3.68
Under 4.5 72.9% 1.37

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.3% 2.07
No 51.7% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 93.3% 1.07
Juventus / Cagliari 86.4% 1.16
Draw / Cagliari 20.3% 4.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
8.1
6.4
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
11.8
8.4
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.9
7.8
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
7.5
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
4.2
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.