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Sunday 21 May 2017, 16:00 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
75% 19% 7%
Home win
74.8%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
6.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 74.8% 1.34
Draw 18.6% 5.39
Crotone 6.6% 15.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.79
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.39
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.59
Over 2.5 46.2% 2.17
Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.7% 4.05
Under 3.5 75.3% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.94
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.6% 3.06
No 67.4% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 93.4% 1.07
Juventus / Crotone 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Crotone 25.2% 3.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
16.1
8.1
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
17.1
7.9
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
11.7
5.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
6.1
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.