Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
22%
29%
49%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
49.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.4% | 13.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Crotone / AC Milan | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
14.4
|
10.5
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.3
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
5.2
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
AC Milan
4-0
Crotone
Sep 2020
Crotone
0-2
AC Milan
Jan 2018
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Aug 2017
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan
Dec 2016
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.