Sunday 4 December 2016, 13:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
75%
16%
9%
Home win
75.3%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
8.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Crotone | 8.8% | 11.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Crotone | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.1
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.3
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
AC Milan
4-0
Crotone
Sep 2020
Crotone
0-2
AC Milan
Jan 2018
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Aug 2017
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2017
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.