Skip to content
Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
67% 19% 14%
Home win
67.2%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
13.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 67.2% 1.49
Draw 19.3% 5.18
Crotone 13.5% 7.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.55
Over 1.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.1% 6.20
Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.6% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.4% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.6% 4.42
Under 4.5 77.4% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.80
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 86.5% 1.16
Torino / Crotone 80.7% 1.24
Draw / Crotone 32.8% 3.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
8.5
9.0
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
10.3
9.7
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
7.9
7.5
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
4
4.5
4.3
2.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
2.1
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.