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Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:00 Sant'Elia Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
61% 20% 19%
Home win
61.3%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
18.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 61.3% 1.63
Draw 20.0% 4.99
Pescara 18.7% 5.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.54
Over 1.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.3% 8.14
Over 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.6% 3.26
Over 3.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 3.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 4.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 4.5 71.0% 1.41

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.8% 1.54
No 35.2% 2.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 81.3% 1.23
Cagliari / Pescara 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Pescara 38.7% 2.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
3.0
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
6.0
8.6
5.0
2.1
0.6
0.2
2
7.6
9.5
5.9
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
5.9
7.4
4.6
1.9
0.6
0.1
4
3.5
4.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
1.6
2.0
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.