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Monday 24 April 2017, 21:45 Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Full time
1–4
HT 0–2
9% 16% 76%
Home win
8.5%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
76.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Pescara 8.5% 11.76
Draw 15.5% 6.44
AS Roma 76.0% 1.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.32
Over 1.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.4% 6.93
Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.3% 2.92
Over 3.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 3.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.3% 3.95
Under 4.5 74.7% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.7% 1.97
No 49.3% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Pescara / Draw 24.0% 4.16
Pescara / AS Roma 84.5% 1.18
Draw / AS Roma 91.5% 1.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
8.4
11.5
10.0
6.5
3.4
1
2.2
7.3
9.0
7.8
5.1
2.6
2
1.0
2.7
3.5
3.0
2.0
1.0
3
0.3
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.3
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Pescara goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.