Sunday 28 May 2017, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
83%
12%
5%
Home win
82.6%
Draw
12.2%
Away win
5.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.2% | 8.20 | — | — |
| Genoa | 5.3% | 19.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.1% | 7.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Genoa | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 17.4% | 5.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
7.9
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.8
|
7.5
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.5
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.9
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Genoa
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Jan 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
1-1
AS Roma
May 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
4-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.