Sunday 30 April 2017, 13:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
60%
23%
18%
Home win
59.6%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
17.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Lazio | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Lazio | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
10.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
10.0
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Sep 2025
Lazio
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2025
Lazio
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2025
AS Roma
2-0
Lazio
Apr 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Lazio
Nov 2023
Lazio
0-0
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.