Saturday 1 April 2017, 19:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
26%
26%
48%
Home win
25.8%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
48.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Lazio | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.7% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Lazio | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
9.8
|
8.5
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
6.6
|
5.3
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.5
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Sep 2025
Sassuolo
1-0
Lazio
May 2024
Lazio
1-1
Sassuolo
Oct 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
May 2023
Lazio
2-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.