Sunday 12 March 2017, 13:30
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
50%
27%
23%
Home win
50.2%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Bologna | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Bologna | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
7.2
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
12.9
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.3
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sassuolo
0-1
Bologna
Dec 2025
Bologna
1-1
Sassuolo
Feb 2024
Bologna
4-2
Sassuolo
Oct 2023
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
May 2023
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
Nov 2022
Bologna
3-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.