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Wednesday 8 February 2017, 21:45 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
29% 30% 42%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
41.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 28.7% 3.49
Draw 29.6% 3.38
AC Milan 41.7% 2.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.26
Over 1.5 67.7% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.91
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 58.3% 1.72
Bologna / AC Milan 70.4% 1.42
Draw / AC Milan 71.3% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
12.1
8.2
3.5
1.1
0.3
1
9.4
13.9
8.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
5.2
6.7
4.3
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.8
2.3
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.